Round 2046
Round 20 of 20 in simulation 7 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover and Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.098 to 12.80.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.80 (−0.098)
- In: 12.90
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 750
- In: 707
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.04 | 11.24 | +0.207 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.07 | 13.81 | −0.258 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.61 | 9.44 | −0.168 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.35 | 15.28 | −0.071 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.33 | 13.42 | +0.093 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.00 | 11.86 | −0.138 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.29 | 13.03 | −0.259 | 7 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.69 | 12.64 | −0.053 | 4 → 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.76 | 14.52 | −0.234 | 3 → 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 495, plus 707 carried in. Maintenance 379. Spent 73 on actions (buy 73). 750 carried over.
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies15 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing15 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion15 credits for 1.01 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance15 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing15 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −6.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −7.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 7 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.97 | +1.07 | 0.00 | −0.11 | +0.01 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.93 | +1.05 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.90 | +1.06 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.78 | +1.01 | 0.00 | −0.24 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.73 | +0.87 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.51 | −0.01 |