Round 18 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.065 to 11.11.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.11 (−0.065)
In: 11.18
Rank by index
35
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
954
In: 882
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.059.12+0.0705
Strategic Infrastructure9.519.47−0.0375
National Security6.336.35+0.0197
Human Capital14.7614.61−0.1432
Information & Influence11.0311.19+0.1655 → 4
Governance & Integrity14.0213.90−0.1166
Financial Strength11.0410.87−0.17613
Production & Innovation12.2112.03−0.1746
Trade & Investment12.6612.46−0.1976 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 392, plus 882 carried in. Maintenance 262. Spent 59 on actions (buy 47, partner 12). 954 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 1 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems12 credits for 1.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies12 credits for 0.99 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.01 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 1 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure12 credits for 0.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 0 per cent
  • Shock: AI labour shock S08. −28.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.94+1.050.00−0.12+0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.84+1.010.00−0.20+0.04
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.81+0.990.00−0.180.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.40+0.530.00−0.16+0.03
Digital & Services Trade−0.370.000.00−0.370.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.32+0.380.00−0.07+0.01