Round 3 · simulation 15 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.062 to 11.67.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.67 (+0.062)
In: 11.61
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
199
In: 127
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.386.76+0.3757
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.860.0005
National Security7.547.540.0006
Human Capital14.6314.73+0.1003
Information & Influence10.8910.90+0.0136
Governance & Integrity15.4615.460.0003
Financial Strength13.1013.13+0.0319 → 8
Production & Innovation13.0313.04+0.0115
Trade & Investment12.6012.62+0.0236

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 402, plus 127 carried in. Maintenance 270. Spent 59 on actions (build 24, buy 24, partner 12). 199 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.13 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 4 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.08 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 5 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.95 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence12 credits for 1.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 3 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling12 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.65+1.310.000.00+0.33
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.08+1.080.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.97+0.970.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.69+0.690.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.21+0.210.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.180.000.000.00+0.18