Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 15 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.055 to 11.62.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.62 (−0.055)
- In: 11.67
- Rank by index
- 32
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 259
- In: 189
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.76 | 6.88 | +0.123 | 7 → 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.86 | 10.81 | −0.055 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.54 | 7.50 | −0.043 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.73 | 14.84 | +0.107 | 3 |
| Information & Influence | 10.90 | 10.76 | −0.139 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.39 | −0.071 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.13 | 12.99 | −0.149 | 8 → 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.04 | 13.00 | −0.045 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.62 | 12.40 | −0.218 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 403, plus 189 carried in. Maintenance 273. Spent 60 on actions (build 24, buy 24, partner 12). 259 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills12 credits for 1.09 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 5 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 1.02 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 3 per cent
- PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 0 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling12 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −23.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 9.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.87 | +0.91 | 0.00 | −0.04 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.85 | +0.93 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.80 | +1.02 | 0.00 | −0.23 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.57 | +0.71 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.39 | +0.43 | 0.00 | −0.04 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | −0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.31 | 0.00 |