Round 9 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.147 to 12.06.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.06 (−0.147)
In: 12.21
Rank by index
29
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
581
In: 531
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.328.49+0.1745
Strategic Infrastructure11.2111.07−0.1495
National Security7.677.70+0.0326
Human Capital15.5215.43−0.0881
Information & Influence11.7711.93+0.1606 → 5
Governance & Integrity15.5915.41−0.1813
Financial Strength13.2512.64−0.6118 → 9
Production & Innovation13.3913.07−0.3195
Trade & Investment13.1212.77−0.3476

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 419, plus 531 carried in. Maintenance 302. Spent 66 on actions (buy 40, partner 27). 581 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies13 credits for 1.21 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity13 credits for 0.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation13 credits for 1.26 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 1 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation13 credits for 1.26 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access13 credits for 1.20 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −16.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.17+1.260.00−0.13+0.04
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.17+1.280.00−0.17+0.06
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.04+1.210.00−0.170.00
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.800.000.00−0.81+0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−0.690.000.00−0.690.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.670.000.00−0.670.00