Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.051 to 12.29.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.29 (−0.051)
- In: 12.35
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 26
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 658
- In: 615
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.41 | 9.49 | +0.079 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.18 | 11.12 | −0.066 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.83 | 7.85 | +0.020 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.46 | 15.37 | −0.091 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.43 | 12.41 | −0.021 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.41 | 15.31 | −0.099 | 3 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 12.65 | 12.50 | −0.159 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.28 | 13.27 | −0.008 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.46 | 13.34 | −0.115 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 421, plus 615 carried in. Maintenance 316. Spent 63 on actions (build 13, buy 38, partner 13). 658 carried over.
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation13 credits for 1.09 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access13 credits for 1.06 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuyEnergy Technologies13 credits for 1.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education13 credits for 0.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion13 credits for 0.99 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −27.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.01 | +1.09 | 0.00 | −0.15 | +0.07 |
| Energy Technologies | +0.88 | +1.05 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.87 | +0.99 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.02 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.36 | +0.52 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.35 | +0.53 | 0.00 | −0.18 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.34 | +0.01 |