Round 20 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-greedy

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover and Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.500 to 11.83.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.83 (−0.500)
In: 12.33
Rank by index
30
In: 26
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
593
In: 568
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.5010.27−0.2345
Strategic Infrastructure10.9810.22−0.7625
National Security7.917.38−0.5366
Human Capital15.3015.00−0.2962
Information & Influence12.4512.04−0.4114
Governance & Integrity15.0914.69−0.3985
Financial Strength12.1311.51−0.62110 → 12
Production & Innovation13.0112.58−0.4305
Trade & Investment13.5612.74−0.8155

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 412, plus 568 carried in. Maintenance 325. Spent 62 on actions (buy 62). 593 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies12 credits for 0.94 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 0 per cent
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power12 credits for 0.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 0.65 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion12 credits for 0.94 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.60 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −28.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −13.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 10 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.540.000.00−1.53−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.280.000.00−1.270.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.260.000.00−1.31+0.04
Energy Infrastructure−1.150.000.00−1.14−0.01
Transport Infrastructure−1.040.000.00−1.02−0.02
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−0.980.000.00−0.970.00