Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.153 to 11.35.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.35 (−0.153)
- In: 11.51
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 33
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 517
- In: 418
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.93 | 7.16 | +0.228 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.34 | 10.07 | −0.271 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.96 | 6.90 | −0.061 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.02 | 14.92 | −0.101 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 10.59 | 10.41 | −0.181 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.05 | 14.89 | −0.158 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.46 | 13.14 | −0.323 | 6 → 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.92 | 12.67 | −0.253 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.29 | 12.04 | −0.250 | 6 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 426, plus 418 carried in. Maintenance 264. Spent 63 on actions (build 13, buy 25, partner 25). 517 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing13 credits for 0.93 levelsmcts
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access13 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies13 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies13 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling13 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −16.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 6 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.20 | +1.34 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.83 | +0.92 | 0.00 | −0.09 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.78 | +0.93 | 0.00 | −0.15 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.60 | −0.02 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.48 | −0.02 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.51 | +0.65 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |