Round 6 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.102 to 11.51.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.51 (+0.102)
In: 11.40
Rank by index
33
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
440
In: 342
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.746.93+0.1896
Strategic Infrastructure10.2810.34+0.0565
National Security6.936.96+0.0256
Human Capital14.9315.02+0.0942
Information & Influence10.1910.59+0.3966
Governance & Integrity15.0515.05−0.0035
Financial Strength13.4113.46+0.0507 → 6
Production & Innovation12.8212.92+0.1015
Trade & Investment12.2812.29+0.0106

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 419, plus 342 carried in. Maintenance 259. Spent 62 on actions (buy 37, partner 25). 440 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.70 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation12 credits for 1.34 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.19+1.170.000.00+0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.88+0.880.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.69+0.700.000.00−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.65+0.670.000.00−0.03
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.54+0.510.000.00+0.03