Round 10 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.096 to 11.00.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.00 (+0.096)
In: 10.91
Rank by index
35
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
725
In: 619
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.887.13+0.2466
Strategic Infrastructure9.719.77+0.0535
National Security6.206.22+0.0257
Human Capital14.9715.00+0.0291
Information & Influence9.6910.19+0.5006
Governance & Integrity14.3314.33−0.0066
Financial Strength12.2112.24+0.0348
Production & Innovation12.2412.23−0.0086
Trade & Investment11.9211.92−0.0087

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 408, plus 619 carried in. Maintenance 240. Spent 63 on actions (buy 38, partner 25). 725 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.40 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies13 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation13 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance13 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing13 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.36+1.360.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.17+1.200.000.00−0.03
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.94+0.940.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.71+0.680.000.00+0.03
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.58+0.590.000.00−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.52+0.490.000.00+0.03