Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.062 to 11.12.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.12 (+0.062)
- In: 11.06
- Rank by index
- 35
- In: 35
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 856
- In: 754
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.43 | 7.82 | +0.386 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 9.76 | 9.75 | −0.011 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.25 | 6.25 | +0.007 | 7 |
| Human Capital | 15.02 | 15.02 | −0.005 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 10.40 | 10.51 | +0.103 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.32 | 14.31 | −0.012 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 12.26 | 12.26 | −0.005 | 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.20 | 12.22 | +0.018 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.89 | 11.97 | +0.078 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 412, plus 754 carried in. Maintenance 248. Spent 62 on actions (build 12, buy 25, partner 25). 856 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.64 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies12 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies12 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication12 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.73 | +1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.20 | +1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.85 | +0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.64 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.54 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.20 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |