Round 13 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.215 to 10.91.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.91 (−0.216)
In: 11.12
Rank by index
35
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 1
Credits carried
913
In: 813
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.827.92+0.0956
Strategic Infrastructure9.759.58−0.1765 → 6
National Security6.256.26+0.0037
Human Capital15.0214.88−0.1351 → 2
Information & Influence10.5110.39−0.1116
Governance & Integrity14.3114.10−0.2126
Financial Strength12.2611.59−0.6667 → 8
Production & Innovation12.2211.83−0.3916
Trade & Investment11.9711.62−0.3467

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 413, plus 813 carried in. Maintenance 252. Spent 62 on actions (buy 25, partner 37). 913 carried over.

  • PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation12 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection12 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks12 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −18.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 6; Human Capital Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 7 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.13+1.230.00−0.13+0.03
Financial System Depth & Access−0.760.000.00−0.75−0.01
Financial Regulation & Integrity−0.740.000.00−0.72−0.01
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.730.000.00−0.730.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.730.000.00−0.730.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.720.000.00−0.74+0.02