Round 16 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.071 to 11.13.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.13 (+0.071)
In: 11.06
Rank by index
35
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1,065
In: 963
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.378.53+0.1605
Strategic Infrastructure9.579.570.0006
National Security6.296.32+0.0287
Human Capital14.8614.86−0.0092
Information & Influence10.7410.86+0.1156
Governance & Integrity14.0714.06−0.0106
Financial Strength11.6011.62+0.0188
Production & Innovation12.0912.19+0.0986
Trade & Investment11.9212.16+0.2417 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 418, plus 963 carried in. Maintenance 254. Spent 62 on actions (buy 25, partner 37). 1,065 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.63 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies12 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics12 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication12 credits for 1.06 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies12 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.11+1.110.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.62+0.630.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.60+0.560.000.00+0.04
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.55+0.550.000.000.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.52+0.530.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.52+0.530.000.00−0.01