Round 15 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.072 to 11.06.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.06 (+0.072)
In: 10.98
Rank by index
35
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1,013
In: 913
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.278.37+0.0965
Strategic Infrastructure9.579.57+0.0036
National Security6.266.29+0.0307
Human Capital14.8714.86−0.0072
Information & Influence10.4710.74+0.2696
Governance & Integrity14.0814.07−0.0126
Financial Strength11.5711.60+0.0238
Production & Innovation12.0012.09+0.0845 → 6
Trade & Investment11.7611.92+0.1637

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 411, plus 913 carried in. Maintenance 250. Spent 60 on actions (buy 36, partner 24). 1,013 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.64 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy12 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access12 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.06+1.080.000.00−0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.79+0.790.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.61+0.640.000.00−0.03
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.58+0.540.000.00+0.04
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.57+0.560.000.00+0.01
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.55+0.550.000.000.00