Round 2044
Round 18 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.069 to 11.14.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.14 (−0.069)
- In: 11.21
- Rank by index
- 35
- In: 34
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1,156
- In: 1,058
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.85 | 9.12 | +0.270 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 9.61 | 9.58 | −0.029 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.34 | 6.34 | +0.005 | 7 |
| Human Capital | 14.84 | 14.71 | −0.133 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 10.88 | 10.79 | −0.085 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.05 | 13.94 | −0.111 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 11.63 | 11.46 | −0.172 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.35 | 12.18 | −0.171 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.34 | 12.14 | −0.196 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 424, plus 1,058 carried in. Maintenance 263. Spent 63 on actions (buy 51, partner 13). 1,156 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing13 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies13 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 1 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing13 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks13 credits for 0.93 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence13 credits for 1.00 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −27.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +0.99 | +1.12 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.94 | +1.10 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.70 | +1.00 | 0.00 | −0.36 | +0.06 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.55 | +0.78 | 0.00 | −0.23 | 0.00 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.36 | +0.42 | 0.00 | −0.06 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.35 | 0.00 |