Round 19 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.070 to 11.07.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.07 (−0.069)
In: 11.14
Rank by index
35
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1,141
In: 1,098
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.129.17+0.0545
Strategic Infrastructure9.589.53−0.0575
National Security6.346.36+0.0147
Human Capital14.7114.58−0.1332
Information & Influence10.7910.89+0.0976 → 5
Governance & Integrity13.9413.83−0.1116
Financial Strength11.4611.27−0.1888
Production & Innovation12.1812.01−0.1716
Trade & Investment12.1412.01−0.1306 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 369, plus 1,098 carried in. Maintenance 263. Spent 64 on actions (buy 25, partner 38). 1,141 carried over.

  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication13 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems13 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation13 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position13 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies13 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.2 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.04+1.150.00−0.12+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.89+1.070.00−0.170.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.45+0.580.00−0.16+0.02
Global Value Chain Position+0.36+0.540.00−0.180.00
Digital & Services Trade−0.350.000.00−0.35+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.340.000.00−0.31−0.03