Round 20 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.045 to 11.03.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.03 (−0.045)
In: 11.07
Rank by index
35
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1,132
In: 1,084
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.179.36+0.1845
Strategic Infrastructure9.539.47−0.0605 → 6
National Security6.366.38+0.0267
Human Capital14.5814.45−0.1312
Information & Influence10.8910.90+0.0185 → 4
Governance & Integrity13.8313.72−0.1086
Financial Strength11.2711.24−0.0308
Production & Innovation12.0111.83−0.1786
Trade & Investment12.0111.89−0.1247

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 364, plus 1,084 carried in. Maintenance 260. Spent 55 on actions (buy 55). 1,132 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing11 credits for 0.67 levelsmctsahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies11 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence11 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation11 credits for 0.95 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power11 credits for 0.95 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.2 points this round.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 6; Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.83+0.950.00−0.17+0.04
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+0.81+0.950.00−0.14−0.01
Energy Technologies+0.77+0.940.00−0.170.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.61+0.860.00−0.36+0.12
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.45+0.580.00−0.16+0.03
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.43+0.670.00−0.230.00