Round 18 · simulation 7 · mcts-m2b.m2b-est-mcts-index

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.068 to 12.31.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.31 (+0.068)
In: 12.25
Rank by index
26
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
758
In: 708
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.7810.01+0.2355
Strategic Infrastructure11.1311.12−0.0085
National Security7.927.93+0.0136
Human Capital15.3315.33+0.0011
Information & Influence12.1312.23+0.0964
Governance & Integrity15.1315.13−0.0055
Financial Strength12.6412.63−0.0037
Production & Innovation12.9712.96−0.0075
Trade & Investment13.2013.49+0.2935 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 433, plus 708 carried in. Maintenance 318. Spent 65 on actions (buy 26, partner 39). 758 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies13 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position13 credits for 1.02 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems13 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation13 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence13 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.08+1.100.000.00−0.02
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.04+1.050.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.57+0.560.000.00+0.02
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.57+0.540.000.00+0.03
Global Value Chain Position+0.55+0.510.000.00+0.04
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.50+0.490.000.00+0.01