Round 2046
Round 20 of 20 in simulation 7 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover and Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.496 to 11.91.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.91 (−0.496)
- In: 12.40
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 770
- In: 727
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.31 | 10.20 | −0.109 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.11 | 10.38 | −0.732 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.95 | 7.44 | −0.507 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.33 | 15.05 | −0.281 | 1 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 12.50 | 12.02 | −0.477 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.12 | 14.73 | −0.385 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 12.63 | 12.05 | −0.582 | 7 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.05 | 12.58 | −0.474 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.65 | 12.73 | −0.919 | 3 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 437, plus 727 carried in. Maintenance 329. Spent 65 on actions (buy 65). 770 carried over.
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies13 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing13 credits for 1.01 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence13 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 1 per cent
- BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power13 credits for 1.02 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion13 credits for 0.99 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −27.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −13.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 7 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.48 | −0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.27 | +0.02 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.27 | +0.08 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.10 | +0.01 |
| Transport Infrastructure | −1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.99 | −0.02 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.95 | +0.01 |