Round 6 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.114 to 16.81.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.81 (+0.115)
In: 16.69
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
1,431
In: 1,239
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.4316.49+0.0653
Strategic Infrastructure16.0316.03+0.0012
National Security16.2816.29+0.0032
Human Capital17.7318.21+0.4711
Information & Influence17.1517.150.0002
Governance & Integrity16.4816.480.0001
Financial Strength17.3617.360.0002
Production & Innovation16.2316.30+0.0711
Trade & Investment16.5416.96+0.4173 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,094, plus 1,239 carried in. Maintenance 737. Spent 164 on actions (build 33, buy 33, partner 99). 1,431 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Education33 credits for 0.78 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access33 credits for 1.93 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity33 credits for 1.45 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication33 credits for 1.97 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position33 credits for 1.92 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Education+1.07+1.070.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.06+1.460.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.96+0.960.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.96+0.960.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.82+1.410.000.000.00