Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.014 to 16.79.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.79 (−0.014)
- In: 16.81
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 1,527
- In: 1,360
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.49 | 16.42 | −0.070 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.03 | 15.85 | −0.174 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.29 | 16.28 | −0.008 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 18.21 | 18.19 | −0.014 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.15 | 16.98 | −0.169 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.48 | 16.39 | −0.090 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.36 | 17.25 | −0.107 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.30 | 16.32 | +0.017 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.96 | 17.44 | +0.488 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,101, plus 1,360 carried in. Maintenance 769. Spent 164 on actions (build 33, buy 33, partner 99). 1,527 carried over.
- BuyStrategic Strike & Missile Defence33 credits for 1.21 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity33 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence33 credits for 2.01 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection33 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance33 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −9.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.90 | +0.95 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.09 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.88 | +1.00 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.05 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.81 | +0.98 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.81 | +0.96 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.02 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.80 | +0.96 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.63 | +0.78 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.02 |