Round 11 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.127 to 16.84.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.84 (+0.127)
In: 16.71
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 5
Credits carried
1,963
In: 1,764
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1516.31+0.1603 → 2
Strategic Infrastructure15.7315.75+0.0172
National Security15.7415.75+0.0013
Human Capital18.3818.48+0.1061
Information & Influence16.7917.33+0.5382 → 1
Governance & Integrity16.0816.14+0.0601
Financial Strength17.0017.03+0.0351
Production & Innovation16.4716.47+0.0011
Trade & Investment18.0218.25+0.2291

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,172, plus 1,764 carried in. Maintenance 799. Spent 175 on actions (build 70, buy 35, partner 70). 1,963 carried over.

  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration35 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Government Effectiveness & Public Administration by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade35 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence35 credits for 1.71 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 4 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks35 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Population Health by 1 per cent
  • BuildPopulation Health35 credits for 1.52 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Industrial & Sectoral Base by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 2; Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.67+1.710.000.00−0.04
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.58+1.530.000.00+0.06
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.96+0.990.000.00−0.03
Digital & Services Trade+0.88+0.860.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.77+0.790.000.00−0.02
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.67+0.580.000.00+0.09