Round 12 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.119 to 16.95.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.95 (+0.119)
In: 16.84
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
1,995
In: 1,865
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.3116.31−0.0032
Strategic Infrastructure15.7515.83+0.0812
National Security15.7515.74−0.0063
Human Capital18.4818.59+0.1061
Information & Influence17.3317.65+0.3251
Governance & Integrity16.1416.23+0.0841
Financial Strength17.0317.07+0.0341
Production & Innovation16.4716.80+0.3251
Trade & Investment18.2518.37+0.1231

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,175, plus 1,865 carried in. Maintenance 868. Spent 176 on actions (build 106, buy 70). 1,995 carried over.

  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure35 credits for 1.21 levelsmctsahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration35 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDiaspora & Global Communities35 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyIndustrial & Sectoral Base35 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLabour & Employment35 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Industrial & Sectoral Base+1.57+1.580.000.00−0.01
Digital & Services Trade+0.90+0.860.000.00+0.04
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.72+0.660.000.00+0.06
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.69+0.690.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.62+0.610.000.00+0.01
Labour & Employment+0.61+0.580.000.00+0.03