Round 2028
Round 2 of 20 in simulation 14 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.202 to 16.25.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.25 (−0.202)
- In: 16.45
- Rank by index
- 5
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 601
- In: 373
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.16 | 16.11 | −0.051 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.03 | 15.63 | −0.402 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 15.81 | −0.475 | 2 → 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.18 | 16.39 | +0.212 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.15 | 16.68 | −0.474 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.48 | 16.23 | −0.245 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.36 | 17.36 | 0.000 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.92 | 15.74 | −0.176 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.54 | 16.33 | −0.210 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,094, plus 373 carried in. Maintenance 702. Spent 164 on actions (build 131, buy 33). 601 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing33 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills33 credits for 2.80 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling33 credits for 2.85 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence33 credits for 2.16 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education33 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −18.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3; Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.21 | +1.39 | 0.00 | −0.18 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.72 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.72 | 0.00 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.71 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.70 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.70 | 0.00 |