Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 14 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Outbreak defence succeeds, and the index +0.421 to 16.73.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.73 (+0.421)
- In: 16.31
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 4
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 1,063
- In: 797
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.11 | 16.47 | +0.359 | 3 → 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 15.63 | 15.97 | +0.350 | 2 |
| National Security | 15.81 | 15.97 | +0.157 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.90 | 17.87 | +0.967 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.68 | 17.05 | +0.370 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.23 | 16.67 | +0.441 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.35 | 17.51 | +0.157 | 2 → 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.74 | 16.37 | +0.632 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.32 | 16.68 | +0.359 | 3 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,090, plus 797 carried in. Maintenance 661. Spent 164 on actions (build 98, buy 65). 1,063 carried over.
- BuyLifelong Learning & Reskilling33 credits for 1.12 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills33 credits for 1.91 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education33 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education33 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion33 credits for 2.24 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Outbreak defence succeeds S20. +23.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +2.56 | +2.24 | 0.00 | +0.32 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +2.54 | +2.24 | 0.00 | +0.32 | −0.02 |
| Foundational Education | +1.30 | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.32 | −0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.26 | +0.94 | 0.00 | +0.32 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.13 | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.32 | −0.01 |
| Advanced Education | +0.85 | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.32 | 0.00 |