Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 14 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.121 to 17.18.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.18 (−0.121)
- In: 17.30
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 6
- In: 5
- Credits carried
- 1,559
- In: 1,517
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.82 | 16.71 | −0.113 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.18 | 15.92 | −0.256 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.12 | 15.82 | −0.296 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.94 | 19.00 | +0.052 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.50 | 17.50 | +0.007 | 2 → 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.89 | 16.94 | +0.048 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.82 | 17.60 | −0.219 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.92 | 16.94 | +0.023 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.53 | 18.19 | −0.338 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,174, plus 1,517 carried in. Maintenance 957. Spent 175 on actions (build 175). 1,559 carried over.
- BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights35 credits for 1.31 levelsmctsahead of Population Health by 0 per cent
- BuildLabour & Employment35 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPopulation Health35 credits for 1.40 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity35 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation35 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −15.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.57 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.54 | 0.00 |
| Population Health | +0.52 | +0.57 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.02 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.50 | +0.01 |
| Diaspora & Global Communities | +0.47 | +0.58 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 |
| Maritime Power | −0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.47 | 0.00 |