Round 14 · simulation 14 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 14 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.116 to 17.30.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.30 (+0.116)
In: 17.19
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
1,585
In: 1,491
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.5616.71+0.1452
Strategic Infrastructure15.9316.06+0.1352
National Security15.8615.86+0.0073
Human Capital19.1319.25+0.1191
Information & Influence17.6717.76+0.0851
Governance & Integrity17.3217.59+0.2661
Financial Strength17.0217.04+0.0141
Production & Innovation17.0417.12+0.0841
Trade & Investment18.1618.35+0.1871

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,136, plus 1,491 carried in. Maintenance 868. Spent 175 on actions (build 70, buy 35, partner 70). 1,585 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance35 credits for 0.57 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position35 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence35 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance35 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection35 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.41+1.410.000.00+0.01
Justice System & Fundamental Rights+0.77+0.760.000.00+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.66+0.680.000.00−0.03
Advanced Manufacturing+0.64+0.630.000.00+0.02
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.61+0.590.000.00+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.60+0.610.000.00−0.02