Round 16 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2b.m2b-gbr-mcts-index

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 3 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.185 to 17.78.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.78 (+0.186)
In: 17.60
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
1,378
In: 1,437
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.4616.78+0.3172
Strategic Infrastructure16.5916.73+0.1442
National Security16.3416.41+0.0762
Human Capital19.2619.40+0.1381
Information & Influence18.1118.28+0.1701
Governance & Integrity17.4917.92+0.4281
Financial Strength17.5417.62+0.0781
Production & Innovation17.6017.84+0.2361
Trade & Investment18.9619.05+0.0821

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,195, plus 1,437 carried in. Maintenance 1,075. Spent 179 on actions (build 108, buy 72). 1,378 carried over.

  • BuySpace Operations36 credits for 1.32 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights36 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base36 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLabour & Employment36 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies36 credits for 1.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +19.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.83+1.710.00+0.120.00
Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption+0.91+0.830.00+0.06+0.01
Justice System & Fundamental Rights+0.86+0.790.00+0.06+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.77+0.720.00+0.03+0.01
Space Technologies+0.76+0.680.00+0.06+0.02
Advanced Manufacturing+0.70+0.630.00+0.06+0.02