Round 5 · simulation 1 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 1 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.034 to 7.33.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.33 (+0.034)
In: 7.30
Rank by index
76
In: 77
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
55
In: 44
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.113.17+0.06710
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.880.0007
National Security4.604.60+0.0039
Human Capital8.058.23+0.18412
Information & Influence8.528.53+0.0067
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.578.570.00017
Production & Innovation7.757.75+0.00114
Trade & Investment8.308.34+0.04012

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 161, plus 44 carried in. Maintenance 126. Spent 24 on actions (build 15, buy 5, partner 5). 55 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 10 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling5 credits for 0.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 0 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence5 credits for 0.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.67+0.670.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.57+0.570.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.28+0.280.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.040.000.000.00+0.04