Round 9 · simulation 1 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 1 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.046 to 7.53.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.53 (+0.046)
In: 7.49
Rank by index
73
In: 75
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
76
In: 70
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.473.60+0.13010 → 9
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.89+0.0037
National Security4.624.63+0.0069
Human Capital8.638.71+0.07010 → 9
Information & Influence8.958.96+0.0057
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.588.58+0.00317
Production & Innovation7.857.91+0.06314
Trade & Investment8.528.64+0.13012

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 161, plus 70 carried in. Maintenance 130. Spent 24 on actions (buy 15, partner 10). 76 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 2 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.61 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection5 credits for 0.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.37 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 9; Human Capital Tier 10 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.75+0.620.000.00+0.13
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.52+0.520.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.43+0.430.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.39+0.370.000.00+0.02
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.31+0.310.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.28+0.280.000.000.00