Round 16 · simulation 1 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 1 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.018 to 6.78.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.78 (+0.019)
In: 6.76
Rank by index
85
In: 86
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
99
In: 89
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.823.91+0.0938
Strategic Infrastructure6.536.49−0.0399
National Security3.713.70−0.0189
Human Capital8.408.38−0.01610
Information & Influence8.598.58−0.0097
Governance & Integrity8.038.01−0.01216
Financial Strength7.167.21+0.04421
Production & Innovation7.017.04+0.03215
Trade & Investment7.567.65+0.08712

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 145, plus 89 carried in. Maintenance 113. Spent 22 on actions (buy 13, partner 9). 99 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.27 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 5 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity4 credits for 0.34 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics4 credits for 0.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing4 credits for 0.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing4 credits for 0.41 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.51+0.510.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.41+0.410.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.31+0.340.000.00−0.03
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.27+0.280.000.00−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.26+0.280.000.00−0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.21+0.240.000.00−0.03