Round 2041
Round 15 of 20 in simulation 1 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.027 to 6.76.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.76 (+0.027)
- In: 6.73
- Rank by index
- 86
- In: 86
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 93
- In: 83
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.77 | 3.82 | +0.048 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.57 | 6.53 | −0.036 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.73 | 3.71 | −0.016 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.41 | 8.40 | −0.009 | 10 |
| Information & Influence | 8.60 | 8.59 | −0.010 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.03 | 8.03 | −0.008 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.13 | 7.16 | +0.033 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.97 | 7.01 | +0.037 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.36 | 7.56 | +0.205 | 13 → 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2041: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 144, plus 83 carried in. Maintenance 112. Spent 21 on actions (buy 9, partner 13). 93 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 4 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 3 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing4 credits for 0.41 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication4 credits for 0.49 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.58 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.49 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.44 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.08 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.41 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.29 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.25 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.04 |