Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.011 to 6.79.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.79 (−0.011)
- In: 6.80
- Rank by index
- 85
- In: 84
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 35
- In: 41
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.99 | 3.02 | +0.030 | 12 → 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.17 | 7.12 | −0.049 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.41 | 4.39 | −0.020 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.65 | 7.77 | +0.125 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.18 | 8.12 | −0.065 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.48 | 8.45 | −0.038 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.71 | 7.66 | −0.046 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.10 | 7.04 | −0.062 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.48 | 7.50 | +0.021 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 130, plus 41 carried in. Maintenance 114. Spent 22 on actions (build 4, buy 4, partner 13). 35 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills4 credits for 0.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 9 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication4 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies4 credits for 0.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.61 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.27 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 1 per cent
Earlier events still landing: −2.8 points this round.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.58 | +0.62 | 0.00 | −0.04 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.54 | +0.56 | 0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.47 | +0.62 | 0.00 | −0.14 | −0.01 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.43 | +0.45 | 0.00 | −0.02 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.37 | +0.39 | 0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.17 | +0.27 | 0.00 | −0.09 | −0.01 |