Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.007 to 6.78.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.78 (−0.007)
- In: 6.79
- Rank by index
- 85
- In: 85
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 31
- In: 33
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.02 | 2.99 | −0.032 | 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.12 | 7.07 | −0.051 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.39 | 4.38 | −0.018 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.77 | 7.87 | +0.097 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.12 | 8.10 | −0.016 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.45 | 8.41 | −0.037 | 15 → 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.66 | 7.64 | −0.023 | 20 → 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.04 | 7.05 | +0.007 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.50 | 7.51 | +0.011 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 130, plus 33 carried in. Maintenance 113. Spent 20 on actions (build 4, buy 4, partner 12). 31 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills4 credits for 0.44 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 6 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication4 credits for 0.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation4 credits for 0.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.24 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
Earlier events still landing: −2.8 points this round.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 15 to 16; Financial Strength Tier 20 to 21.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.51 | +0.53 | 0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.41 | +0.48 | 0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.41 | +0.51 | 0.00 | −0.09 | −0.01 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.31 | +0.33 | 0.00 | −0.02 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.26 | +0.29 | 0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.21 | +0.28 | 0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 |