Round 12 · simulation 11 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.042 to 6.61.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.61 (+0.042)
In: 6.57
Rank by index
90
In: 90
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
95
In: 80
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.313.41+0.10410
Strategic Infrastructure6.526.51−0.0169
National Security4.014.01−0.0019
Human Capital7.927.92+0.00311
Information & Influence8.108.28+0.1809 → 8
Governance & Integrity8.048.04−0.00516
Financial Strength7.137.17+0.04722 → 21
Production & Innovation6.796.79−0.00115
Trade & Investment7.287.34+0.06412

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 144, plus 80 carried in. Maintenance 108. Spent 21 on actions (buy 13, partner 9). 95 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing4 credits for 0.45 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.27 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 2 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies4 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance4 credits for 0.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation4 credits for 0.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 9 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 22 to 21.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.57+0.580.000.00−0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.54+0.540.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.51+0.510.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.45+0.450.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.27+0.280.000.00−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.26+0.270.000.00−0.01