Round 11 · simulation 11 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.028 to 6.57.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.57 (+0.028)
In: 6.54
Rank by index
90
In: 90
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
85
In: 71
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.253.31+0.05710
Strategic Infrastructure6.546.52−0.0179
National Security4.014.01−0.0029
Human Capital7.917.92+0.01111
Information & Influence8.058.10+0.0459
Governance & Integrity8.058.04−0.00716
Financial Strength7.097.13+0.04121 → 22
Production & Innovation6.816.79−0.01415
Trade & Investment7.137.28+0.14113 → 12

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 142, plus 71 carried in. Maintenance 107. Spent 21 on actions (buy 4, partner 17). 85 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance4 credits for 0.27 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 2 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing4 credits for 0.46 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation4 credits for 0.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection4 credits for 0.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 21 to 22; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.57+0.580.000.00−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.46+0.460.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.28+0.290.000.00−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.27+0.280.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.23+0.240.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.22+0.260.000.00−0.04