Round 14 · simulation 11 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.033 to 6.67.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.67 (+0.033)
In: 6.64
Rank by index
88
In: 89
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
116
In: 100
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.523.63+0.1129
Strategic Infrastructure6.496.48−0.0119
National Security4.004.00−0.0039
Human Capital7.917.90−0.01011
Information & Influence8.338.32−0.0018
Governance & Integrity8.038.03−0.00516
Financial Strength7.227.25+0.02821
Production & Innovation6.846.91+0.07315
Trade & Investment7.377.48+0.11012

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 148, plus 100 carried in. Maintenance 110. Spent 22 on actions (buy 13, partner 9). 116 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing4 credits for 0.45 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 3 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies4 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection4 credits for 0.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence4 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.58+0.540.000.00+0.04
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.54+0.540.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.52+0.510.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.44+0.450.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.25+0.240.000.00+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.17+0.130.000.00+0.03