Round 15 · simulation 11 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.037 to 6.71.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.71 (+0.037)
In: 6.67
Rank by index
87
In: 88
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
126
In: 110
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.633.75+0.1159 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure6.486.49+0.0119
National Security4.004.01+0.0079
Human Capital7.907.90−0.00711
Information & Influence8.328.33+0.0048
Governance & Integrity8.038.02−0.00516
Financial Strength7.257.25+0.00121
Production & Innovation6.916.97+0.05315
Trade & Investment7.487.64+0.15412

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 150, plus 110 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 22 on actions (buy 13, partner 9). 126 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.45 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 3 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics5 credits for 0.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.35 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.53+0.540.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.44+0.450.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.35+0.350.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.33+0.270.000.00+0.06
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.25+0.260.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.25+0.250.000.000.00