Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 11 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.643 to 6.06.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.06 (−0.643)
- In: 6.71
- Rank by index
- 96
- In: 87
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 136
- In: 120
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.75 | 3.67 | −0.077 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.49 | 5.72 | −0.770 | 9 |
| National Security | 4.01 | 3.79 | −0.215 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.90 | 7.28 | −0.619 | 11 → 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.33 | 7.45 | −0.884 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.02 | 7.49 | −0.536 | 16 → 17 |
| Financial Strength | 7.25 | 6.21 | −1.034 | 21 → 23 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.97 | 6.25 | −0.713 | 15 → 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.64 | 6.70 | −0.936 | 12 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 151, plus 120 carried in. Maintenance 113. Spent 23 on actions (buy 18, partner 5). 136 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.44 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 3 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −46.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 11 to 12; Governance & Integrity Tier 16 to 17; Financial Strength Tier 21 to 23; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 16; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −1.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.97 | +0.01 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.69 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.71 | +0.03 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.32 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.30 | +0.26 | 0.00 | −1.56 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | −1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.21 | +0.01 |