Round 7 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.050 to 7.30.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.30 (+0.050)
In: 7.25
Rank by index
77
In: 78
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
44
In: 34
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.163.22+0.06110
Strategic Infrastructure7.917.91−0.0057
National Security4.614.62+0.0059
Human Capital8.298.42+0.13012 → 10
Information & Influence8.378.48+0.1038
Governance & Integrity8.838.82−0.00215
Financial Strength8.268.26−0.00218
Production & Innovation7.587.66+0.07814
Trade & Investment8.228.31+0.08113

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 157, plus 34 carried in. Maintenance 125. Spent 22 on actions (build 4, buy 9, partner 9). 44 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills4 credits for 0.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 2 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence4 credits for 0.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation4 credits for 0.60 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.61+0.610.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.57+0.570.000.00−0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.54+0.540.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.53+0.520.000.00+0.01
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.34+0.340.000.000.00