Round 11 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.042 to 7.47.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.47 (+0.042)
In: 7.43
Rank by index
75
In: 75
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
60
In: 54
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.633.70+0.0659
Strategic Infrastructure7.897.89+0.0037
National Security4.634.64+0.0089
Human Capital8.628.64+0.0189 → 8
Information & Influence8.678.78+0.1117
Governance & Integrity8.828.82−0.00115
Financial Strength8.318.32+0.00518
Production & Innovation7.817.82+0.01214
Trade & Investment8.478.63+0.16312 → 11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 160, plus 54 carried in. Maintenance 130. Spent 24 on actions (buy 5, partner 19). 60 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 5 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection5 credits for 0.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.61 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 9 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.61+0.610.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.51+0.510.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.29+0.300.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.27+0.270.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.19+0.190.000.000.00