Round 12 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.059 to 7.53.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.53 (+0.059)
In: 7.47
Rank by index
73
In: 75
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
63
In: 57
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.703.82+0.1259
Strategic Infrastructure7.897.90+0.0087
National Security4.644.64+0.0079
Human Capital8.648.69+0.0498
Information & Influence8.788.93+0.1477
Governance & Integrity8.828.82−0.00115
Financial Strength8.328.32+0.00318
Production & Innovation7.827.89+0.06614
Trade & Investment8.638.76+0.12711

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 161, plus 57 carried in. Maintenance 131. Spent 24 on actions (buy 24). 63 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.49 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 5 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.54 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation5 credits for 0.38 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.36 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.57+0.570.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.54+0.540.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.49+0.490.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.37+0.360.000.00+0.01
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.37+0.380.000.00−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.31+0.310.000.000.00