Round 14 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.033 to 7.60.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.60 (+0.033)
In: 7.57
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
66
In: 62
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.064.24+0.1798
Strategic Infrastructure7.917.92+0.0137
National Security4.654.66+0.0069
Human Capital8.688.68−0.0018
Information & Influence8.948.95+0.0107
Governance & Integrity8.828.82−0.00115
Financial Strength8.338.36+0.02618
Production & Innovation7.987.99+0.01012
Trade & Investment8.778.82+0.05211

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 163, plus 62 carried in. Maintenance 135. Spent 25 on actions (buy 15, partner 10). 66 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 4 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation5 credits for 0.60 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 1 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.60+0.600.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.56+0.560.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.48+0.480.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.29+0.290.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.15+0.140.000.00+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.150.000.000.00+0.15