Round 15 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.043 to 7.65.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.65 (+0.042)
In: 7.60
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
65
In: 62
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.244.42+0.1798
Strategic Infrastructure7.927.94+0.0147
National Security4.664.66+0.0069
Human Capital8.688.680.0008
Information & Influence8.959.00+0.0587
Governance & Integrity8.828.820.00015
Financial Strength8.368.38+0.02418
Production & Innovation7.998.00+0.01212
Trade & Investment8.828.91+0.09011

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 164, plus 62 carried in. Maintenance 136. Spent 25 on actions (buy 15, partner 10). 65 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 3 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation5 credits for 0.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.56+0.560.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.47+0.470.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.30+0.290.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.29+0.290.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.26+0.260.000.000.00