Round 16 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-greedy

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 4 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.044 to 7.69.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.69 (+0.044)
In: 7.65
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
64
In: 62
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.424.67+0.2558 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure7.947.95+0.0157
National Security4.664.67+0.0069
Human Capital8.688.680.0008
Information & Influence9.009.06+0.0557
Governance & Integrity8.828.820.00015
Financial Strength8.388.38+0.00518
Production & Innovation8.008.01+0.01012
Trade & Investment8.918.96+0.04811

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 165, plus 62 carried in. Maintenance 138. Spent 25 on actions (buy 20, partner 5). 64 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.45 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 2 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation5 credits for 0.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 1 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies5 credits for 0.44 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies5 credits for 0.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.58+0.580.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+0.57+0.560.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.55+0.550.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.46+0.450.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.30+0.290.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.26+0.260.000.000.00