Round 5 · simulation 18 · mcts-m2b.m2b-kor-greedy

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.189 to 16.30.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.30 (−0.190)
In: 16.49
Rank by index
5
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 5
Credits carried
828
In: 710
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1015.88−0.2282 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure16.5716.06−0.5031 → 2
National Security14.6214.05−0.5693
Human Capital18.3018.47+0.1631
Information & Influence16.6316.30−0.3311 → 2
Governance & Integrity16.1115.79−0.3123 → 4
Financial Strength16.2516.41+0.1594 → 1
Production & Innovation16.7916.70−0.0891
Trade & Investment17.0617.07+0.0071

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,032, plus 710 carried in. Maintenance 757. Spent 157 on actions (build 31, partner 126). 828 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance31 credits for 0.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 3 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection31 credits for 1.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity31 credits for 1.16 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 2 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks31 credits for 1.65 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 1 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence31 credits for 1.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 5 per cent
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −22.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Information & Influence Tier 1 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.24+1.710.00−0.470.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.93+0.880.000.00+0.05
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.930.000.00−0.930.00
Maritime Power−0.930.000.00−0.930.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation−0.920.000.00−0.93+0.01
Intelligence & Assessment−0.920.000.00−0.94+0.01