Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.101 to 15.90.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 15.90 (−0.101)
- In: 16.00
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 853
- In: 653
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.08 | 15.92 | −0.167 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.32 | 16.24 | −0.073 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.41 | 0.000 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.49 | 16.68 | +0.194 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.49 | 15.31 | −0.187 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.84 | 15.73 | −0.109 | 4 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 16.07 | 15.89 | −0.184 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.63 | 16.46 | −0.175 | 1 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.68 | 16.47 | −0.210 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,014, plus 653 carried in. Maintenance 662. Spent 152 on actions (build 91, buy 30, partner 30). 853 carried over.
- PartnerDigital & AI Competence30 credits for 1.19 levelsmctsahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 2.48 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation30 credits for 1.28 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education30 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −28.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.17 | +1.28 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.43 | +0.53 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.37 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.32 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.31 | 0.00 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.31 | 0.00 |