M2b · mcts-m2b.m2b-kor-mcts-index

Simulations

All 20 simulations of South Korea, tree search, 20 years, one per seed, at 2046. The representative simulations link to their own pages, told round by round.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1 · The experiment

Every simulation

One row per seed, at the horizon. Select a heading to sort.

Simulation	Index	Change	Rank	Tier rank	Tier 1	Shocks	Upsides	Most funded group
20	18.52	+2.52	1	2	7	1	4	Financial Regulation & Integrity (5 per cent)
4	18.27	+2.27	1	2	7	1	3	Nuclear Deterrence (5 per cent)
3A good simulation (90th percentile)	18.22	+2.22	1	2	7	1	2	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (5 per cent)
19	18.09	+2.08	1	2	7	0	2	Resource Infrastructure (6 per cent)
5	18.06	+2.06	1	2	7	2	4	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (6 per cent)
17	18.04	+2.04	1	2	7	2	2	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (4 per cent)
15	17.88	+1.88	2	2	7	1	1	Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption (4 per cent)
16	17.80	+1.79	2	2	7	1	0	Resource Infrastructure (4 per cent)
12	17.51	+1.51	2	2	6	2	1	Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power (4 per cent)
2Median simulation	17.50	+1.49	2	2	6	2	0	Transparency, Oversight & Accountability (3 per cent)
14	17.31	+1.31	2	2	6	3	0	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (4 per cent)
10	17.22	+1.22	2	2	6	4	1	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (4 per cent)
1	17.10	+1.10	2	2	6	3	1	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (5 per cent)
6	17.05	+1.05	2	2	6	4	1	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (5 per cent)
13	17.02	+1.02	2	3	5	5	0	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (4 per cent)
9	16.96	+0.96	2	2	6	3	0	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (7 per cent)
7	16.90	+0.90	2	3	5	5	2	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (6 per cent)
11A poor simulation (10th percentile)	16.66	+0.66	2	2	6	5	0	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (6 per cent)
18	16.57	+0.57	3	3	5	6	1	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (6 per cent)
8	16.45	+0.45	4	2	6	6	0	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (5 per cent)