Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.054 to 15.76.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 15.76 (−0.054)
- In: 15.81
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 956
- In: 850
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.75 | 15.57 | −0.173 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.17 | 16.09 | −0.079 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.41 | −0.002 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.02 | 17.33 | +0.306 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.12 | 15.11 | −0.010 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.62 | 15.51 | −0.111 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 15.70 | 15.54 | −0.153 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.28 | 16.09 | −0.184 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.25 | 16.17 | −0.083 | 2 → 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 875, plus 850 carried in. Maintenance 638. Spent 133 on actions (build 80, partner 53). 956 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance27 credits for 0.80 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills27 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling27 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation27 credits for 2.20 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access27 credits for 1.92 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −9.4 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.31 | +1.42 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.10 | +1.30 | 0.00 | −0.21 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.94 | +1.10 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.77 | +0.96 | 0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.53 | +0.74 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.37 | 0.00 |