Round 3 · simulation 5 · mcts-m3.m3-kor-greedy

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 5 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.152 to 16.07.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.07 (+0.152)
In: 15.92
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
572
In: 370
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9915.99+0.0083
Strategic Infrastructure16.0916.20+0.1032
National Security14.3214.41+0.0883
Human Capital17.1417.64+0.5061
Information & Influence15.2815.59+0.3103 → 2
Governance & Integrity15.7315.83+0.1085 → 4
Financial Strength15.8315.86+0.0315
Production & Innovation16.4516.49+0.0361
Trade & Investment16.4316.61+0.1802

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,003, plus 370 carried in. Maintenance 648. Spent 152 on actions (build 91, partner 61). 572 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills30 credits for 2.08 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 19 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling30 credits for 1.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 7 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation30 credits for 2.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 3 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access30 credits for 2.09 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 1 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education30 credits for 1.25 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 3 per cent
  • Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +13.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.49+1.450.00+0.040.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.40+1.240.00+0.160.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.34+1.300.00+0.040.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.08+1.040.00+0.040.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.72+0.680.00+0.040.00
Advanced Education+0.54+0.510.00+0.040.00